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Ukraine has inflicted unimaginable damage deep within Russia, degrading an estimated 25%-33% of its oil refining capacity, leading to a major impact on the Russian public. At the beginning of this conflict, to imagine Ukraine being able to inflict this level of destruction well beyond its borders was unthinkable. But with their quick adoption of drone swarms, they may begin tipping the scales, which may potentially cause Russia to recalculate just how long they can continue this offensive.